Autumn October Chinese ** market is on the slide

First, the market review Since July, China's ** market trading atmosphere is sluggish, the overall price showed a downward trend. At the beginning of July, the market was steadily lower, and sales in some high-priced areas fell slightly, and the market price center of gravity fell slightly. August ** Overall market prices continued to decline, demand was weak, corporate inventories were high, and market turnover was average. Downstream rare earths, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, thermoelectrics, feed additives and other industries have less fluctuations in demand, and chlor-alkali enterprises have stable load. Affected by the market downturn in the ** market, corporate ** output showed an upward trend. September ** The overall market price fell even more severely. Demand was extremely bleak. The consumption of downstream acid-consumption enterprises was reduced. The consumption of ** was decreased, and the inventory of enterprises was large. Until the latter part of the downstream warmed up, the price of ** in some regions increased slightly. .

Second, the trend analysis

China Synthetic Acid Region Price Chart



China synthetic acid regional price chart is easy to see from the price chart in the synthesis of acid region in 2011 after six months ** unsatisfactory trend, fell to the bottom, since October ** market continued to run low, but the trend in different regions Different. As the upper reaches of the ** continue to low consolidation, corporate shipping pressure is greater, the overall ** market supply adequate downstream demand is stable, the short term ** price is difficult to have significant fluctuations. It is understood that after the end of the National Day holiday, the price difference between the upper and lower end of the country is still relatively large. In recent days, the weather has turned cold, and the domestic heating plan has gradually begun to operate. Therefore, the supply pipeline processing and heating companies in Northeast China and Shandong Province have to meet their needs. The price has gradually risen. The domestic rare earth industry is sluggish, seriously affecting the ** company's shipping situation, prices are all the way down, it is difficult to pick up. Southwest ** main supply downstream pesticides, water purification agent, electroplating, pharmaceuticals, fine chemicals and other raw materials, its demand is now relatively stable, the price is no upward trend, according to changes in the market, investors and stabilize the main, but not without down-regulation possible, The situation is not optimistic.

China ** Production Chart



China ** production charts in August 2011 ** Our production of about 694,000 tons, an increase of 1.2% compared with the previous month 686,000 tons, 721,000 tons compared with the same period last year, a 3.7% decrease; January-August cumulative production 54.48 million tons, an increase of 1.5% compared with 5.367 million tons in the same period last year.

August 2009-2011 China ** Export Volume Chart



2009-2011 China in August ** export charts According to customs statistics, exports of ** 446.4 tons, reduced by 30 percent, a decrease of 42%, and exports worth $ 81,982. **Overseas demand has significantly weakened and exports have fallen seriously. It has also become one of the culprits that made the market sluggish.

Third, the market forecast good factors:

1. Some textile printing and dyeing companies gradually entered the busy season as the temperature dropped, and the operating rate gradually picked up. Some of the work on the clearing of heating pipelines has gradually started, and the demand for ** has increased, which has eased the problem of shipping difficulties in the corresponding regions. .

2, ** price has been hovering near the cost line, the price down space is limited.

Negative factors:

1, a few days ago continuous maintenance of rare earth plants, although they have been gradually driving, but the operating rate is relatively low, but due to policy relations, some small rare earth plants were forced to shut down; plus some previous foreign joint resistance boycott and other reasons, making the rare earth price into Times fell, seriously affecting the demand for **.

2. Affected by the macro economy, the global economy is weak, and the domestic market is sluggish. At present, the oversupply of the market has made prices difficult to develop.

Baichuan forecast:

Different regions, different industries downstream, the market outlook or will be different. In general, the ** market will gradually cool down from the Northeast and East China regions to North China and Central China to the southwest and northwest.

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